The congressional maps initially produced by North Carolina's Republican-controlled legislature were projected to give Democrats only 3 of the state's 14 congressional districts, or 4 in a good year, while Republicans would win 10 or 11.
Notes on verification
Multiple independent, credible sources (Brennan Center, Duke gerrymandering project, Democracy Docket) corroborate the specific 10-4/11-3 seat projection for North Carolina's 2023 congressional map. [tier=silver indep_score=0.833 clusters=3 claim_tier=notable]
Sources
- What's at Stake When the Supreme Court Argues Moore v. ... (seed:politics_and_current_events)
- https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/anatomy-north-carolina-gerrymander (corroboration)
- https://sites.duke.edu/quantifyinggerrymandering/2023/10/20/newly-proposed-nc-maps-are-more-gerrymandered-and-less-responsive-than-maps-struck-down-in-2021/ (corroboration)
- https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/north-carolina-republicans-unveil-new-congressional-and-legislative-maps/ (corroboration)