According to the study, achieving full heat adaptation in Spain would require the heat mortality trigger temperature to rise at an average rate of 0.6°C per decade nationwide.
Notes on verification
Confirmed by ISCIII press release and two independent news outlets, all tracing back to the same peer-reviewed 2019 Díaz et al. study in Environmental Research. Corroboration is broad but not independently sourced beyond the original research; a related follow-up study shows a consistent temperature trend figure. [tier=gold indep_score=0.867 clusters=3 claim_tier=notable | framework convergence=single on Díaz et al. 2019 Environmental Research study on heat-attributable mortality and adaptation rates in Spain (upstreams: Díaz J, Sáez M, Carmona R, Mirón IJ, Barceló MA, Luna MY, Linares C (2019) Environmental Research study) — publishers independent, evidence may not be | kind=attributed eligibility=high]
Sources
- Un estudio cifra en cerca de 50.000 millones de euros anuales el coste que tendría para España la no adaptación al calor - ISCIII Portal Web (seed:health_and_medicine)
- https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0013935119301215 (corroboration)
- https://www.elagoradiario.com/desarrollo-sostenible/economia-circular/no-adaptarse-olas-calor-costara-50-000-millones-espana/ (corroboration)
- https://www.elindependiente.com/vida-sana/salud/2019/07/28/espana-agosto-2050-como-sobreviviremos-al-cambio-climatico/ (corroboration)